Social buzz on J.D. Vance runs 8 points below his market odds -- the crowd is less confident than bettors. Meanwhile, Marco Rubio dominates online discussion at 63% social share vs just 28% market odds, suggesting a massive grassroots enthusiasm gap that the prediction market has not yet priced in. The "Rubio 2028" movement is driven by his performance as Secretary of State and contrast with Vance's perceived Tucker Carlson association.
Posts Analyzed
375
posts analyzed · last 30 days
𝕏 374 tweetsR 1 post📷 0 posts
Top Voices
Supporters
C
CryptidPolitics
𝕏 @CryptidPolitics
5,984 reactions
"Trump knows Rubio 2028 makes sense: 'I became a diplomat for the first time. You know who taught me that, Marco Rubio... Marco has been fantastic. Marco, stand up, please. You have done a great job as Sec. of State.'"
J
JoeyMannarino
𝕏 @JoeyMannarino
4,007 reactions
"If you told me in 2016 that I'd be rooting for Rubio 2028 I'd have told you that you were on something. But, as far as I'm seeing, Rubio 2028 would crush anything the Democrats could possibly put against him."
G
GuntherEagleman
𝕏 @GuntherEagleman
3,849 reactions
"Rubio/Vance or Vance/Rubio 2028?"
Skeptics
N
NextAI3n
𝕏 @NextAI3n
483 reactions
"NEVER VANCE 2028 - BLUE WAVE 2026"
A
AviFelman
𝕏 @AviFelman
259 reactions
"I continue to believe that Rubio 2028 is underpriced, he's up to 18% now. J.D Vance is clearly being sidelined. All of the major successes from the Trump presidency have been foreign policy, and Rubio is the face of that success. All the failures? Domestic."
B
BorderBeliever
𝕏 @BorderBeliever
146 reactions
"No Vance 2028"
Catalysts
TWEET
Trump praises Rubio: "I became a diplomat for the first time. You know who taught me that, Marco Rubio... He's done a great job as Sec. of State."
Mar 4 · 5,984 engagements
TWEET
After deploying Sec. Rubio, Trump reveals Cuba is NEXT -- "Pretty soon, we will either make a deal, or do WHATEVER we have to do!"
Mar 16 · 5,322 engagements
TWEET
"If you told me in 2016 that I'd be rooting for Rubio 2028 I'd have told you that you were on something. But Rubio 2028 would crush anything the Democrats could put against him."
Mar 8 · 4,007 engagements
TWEET
"Vance or Rubio, 2028?" -- viral poll sparking massive debate (1,347 replies) on whether Rubio should top the ticket over the presumed heir
Mar 10 · 3,849 engagements
Risk / Opportunity Signal
Social buzz on J.D. Vance runs 8 points below his market odds -- the crowd is less confident than bettors. Meanwhile, Marco Rubio dominates online discussion at 63% social share vs just 28% market odds, a +35pt gap suggesting a massive grassroots enthusiasm that the prediction market has not yet priced in. The "Rubio 2028" movement is fueled by his widely praised performance as Secretary of State, particularly on Cuba and Iran diplomacy. Key risk for Vance: his association with Tucker Carlson is repeatedly cited as a dealbreaker by vocal MAGA supporters, many of whom are pivoting to Rubio. This social-market divergence represents a significant opportunity signal for Rubio backers.